Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 0.194236 0.221104 0.249940 0.283145 0.320275 0.360466 0.407214
2025-12-07 0.156327 0.191834 0.232509 0.282381 0.341698 0.409806 0.493728
2025-12-14 0.129936 0.170158 0.218887 0.281901 0.360827 0.455978 0.578889
2025-12-21 0.110575 0.153463 0.208066 0.282057 0.378987 0.500845 0.664708
2025-12-28 0.097365 0.142369 0.202262 0.286849 0.402107 0.552374 0.761556
2026-01-04 0.087676 0.134440 0.199224 0.294181 0.428179 0.608585 0.867464
2026-01-11 0.078166 0.125367 0.193272 0.296316 0.446518 0.654807 0.962105
2026-01-18 0.071392 0.119349 0.190776 0.302644 0.470564 0.709695 1.071359
2026-01-25 0.065961 0.114643 0.189532 0.310309 0.496573 0.768361 1.188811
2026-02-01 0.059274 0.107094 0.183059 0.309166 0.508873 0.807277 1.279140
2026-02-08 0.053494 0.100329 0.177056 0.307985 0.520600 0.845471 1.369865
2026-02-15 0.048384 0.094092 0.171232 0.306392 0.531202 0.882076 1.459564
2026-02-22 0.045156 0.090938 0.170445 0.313315 0.556425 0.943557 1.592501
2026-03-01 0.041097 0.085801 0.165744 0.313150 0.569844 0.986984 1.699239
2026-03-08 0.037492 0.081088 0.161308 0.312973 0.583039 1.030541 1.808229
2026-03-15 0.034357 0.076908 0.157410 0.313326 0.596975 1.075819 1.922072
2026-03-22 0.032188 0.074406 0.156366 0.318691 0.619884 1.137102 2.065313
2026-03-29 0.030542 0.072786 0.156825 0.326803 0.648079 1.208648 2.229124
2026-04-05 0.028394 0.069843 0.154404 0.329177 0.665826 1.262845 2.365570
2026-04-12 0.026916 0.068190 0.154390 0.336147 0.692404 1.333689 2.534012
2026-04-19 0.025692 0.066964 0.155119 0.344580 0.722145 1.411462 2.717987
2026-04-26 0.023678 0.063671 0.151218 0.343327 0.733112 1.455698 2.843935
2026-05-03 0.021846 0.060584 0.147463 0.342031 0.743796 1.499746 2.971269